Market Updates
Weekly Financial Insights Blog

Monday Morning Market Update

As we’ve mentioned since the beginning of the year, jobs numbers will be market moving this year because they’ll be political.  With pundits noting every month that no president has been re-elected with an unemployment rate above 7% (with the exception of Ronald Reagan) in the last 50 years,[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

A Week of Good News Last week we were treated to a number of positive economic data points from the third revision of fourth quarter GDP, consumer confidence, durable goods orders and Chicago PMI (purchasing manager’s index). Fourth quarter real GDP grew at a 3% rate, no difference from the [...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

It seems that investors are generally upbeat about the prospects for future economic activity and as a result corporate earnings and stock prices.  Interest rates have moved higher as a result of the positive outlook and inflation seems to be back on everyone’s mind.  The reality is that corp[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

It seems that with the S&P 500 up 108% from its March 9, 2009 low and up 11.67% the economists are finally turning more optimistic about the prospects for economic growth.  What a difference six months makes.  The stock market is one of the biggest components of the Leading Indicator index [...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

The latest on Jobs and Europe While enjoying a balmy Sunday in March it isn’t too hard to imagine that a warmer winter has positively impacted the job creation data.  The Friday jobs report indicated that there were 233k private jobs created last month while the unemployment rate remained sta[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

Oil prices are dominating headlines as a result of higher gas prices at home, Middle East concerns over Israel action against Iran, a potential oil pipeline explosion in Saudi Arabia and a weaker dollar.  The Saudi Arabians denied the explosion however this week we’ll continue to see oil in th[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

Asset Allocation Last week, I attended the Morningstar conference on asset allocation with Tom Scholz.  The venue in Miami was beautiful, although most of it seen through the conference facility’s windows.  For two days we heard iconic speakers like Roger Ibbotson and Meir Statman talk about[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

The stock market has rallied 24% since the October 3rd low.  After three months of trading lower, investors’ fears subsided and the rally began.  Concerns regarding the events unfolding in Europe took a turn for the positive when on November 30th six major central banks cut the spread they ch[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

Last week’s trade deficit numbers provided some insights into the strength of economic growth.  As you can see from the chart below the deficit was $558 billion for 2011.  The increase in imports versus 2010 was 14% while exports grew by 14.5%.  The goods deficit was $737 billion for the yea[...]

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Monday Morning Market Update

As investors, why do we care so much about the employment report? In an election year, this may be an easier question to answer.  The incumbent will use any signs of improvement to indicate that the policy decisions made during his term are helping.  The absolute level of unemployment, if nega[...]

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